Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 1.037287e-03 0.001184 0.001333 0.001495 0.001665 0.001838 0.002028
2025-04-13 8.665108e-04 0.001080 0.001305 0.001557 0.001829 0.002112 0.002427
2025-04-20 6.464715e-04 0.000897 0.001172 0.001491 0.001843 0.002218 0.002643
2025-04-27 4.659138e-04 0.000736 0.001047 0.001418 0.001840 0.002298 0.002824
2025-05-04 3.810650e-04 0.000675 0.001027 0.001459 0.001958 0.002507 0.003145
2025-05-11 2.576698e-04 0.000548 0.000918 0.001386 0.001942 0.002561 0.003291
2025-05-18 1.541313e-04 0.000427 0.000802 0.001296 0.001897 0.002579 0.003391
2025-05-25 9.435059e-05 0.000354 0.000738 0.001264 0.001915 0.002663 0.003563
2025-06-01 4.288723e-05 0.000273 0.000654 0.001199 0.001889 0.002694 0.003671
2025-06-08 1.743534e-05 0.000225 0.000610 0.001180 0.001917 0.002784 0.003845
2025-06-15 9.084145e-06 0.000213 0.000618 0.001230 0.002027 0.002971 0.004129
2025-06-22 2.244643e-07 0.000170 0.000573 0.001204 0.002041 0.003042 0.004279
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000141 0.000556 0.001234 0.002149 0.003252 0.004623
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000126 0.000564 0.001300 0.002304 0.003524 0.005045
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000075 0.000491 0.001244 0.002302 0.003606 0.005245
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000036 0.000418 0.001181 0.002287 0.003669 0.005422
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000025 0.000412 0.001221 0.002408 0.003900 0.005800
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000005 0.000345 0.001156 0.002383 0.003948 0.005958
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.000275 0.001074 0.002331 0.003959 0.006068
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000238 0.001045 0.002348 0.004056 0.006281
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000190 0.000986 0.002320 0.004091 0.006417
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000165 0.000969 0.002351 0.004203 0.006645
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000169 0.001014 0.002474 0.004433 0.007018